Thursday, November 19, 2009

Reid $849 Billion Measure Widens Health Coverage, Cuts Deficit

http://www.bloomberg.com

Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid unveiled an $849 billion health-care plan that would create new government competition for private insurers, cover almost all Americans and raise a payroll tax on the highest earners.

Reid’s proposal, the most sweeping overhaul of the U.S. health system in four decades, cleared a major hurdle when the Congressional Budget Office said it would cut the federal budget deficit by $127 billion in the first decade. That met a standard set by President Barack Obama and allows Reid to seek a vote as early as Saturday to open the way for Senate debate.

The 2,074-page Senate bill would extend coverage to 94 percent of Americans or some 31 million people, lawmakers said. The House passed its version on a vote of 220-215 on Nov. 7.

“This legislation is a tremendous step forward,” Reid told reporters at the Capitol last night. “Tonight begins the last leg of this journey.”

That last leg is full of obstacles. Senate Republicans are universally opposed to his plan and Democrats are divided over issues ranging from the new government-insurance plan to how to pay for the measure. And an even bigger battle looms when the Senate and House try to work out a compromise, each pushing for their own version of the legislation.

Calendar Threat

The calendar is also increasingly a threat. Should work spill into next year, the congressional elections and breaks in the legislative schedule may open the effort up to the same types of criticism that dogged Democrats during their August recess. Democrats in tight re-election battles might be tempted to defect from their party’s agenda.

The legislation is intended to both reduce the ranks of the uninsured and curb rising medical costs. Both the House and Senate versions require that Americans get health coverage or pay a penalty, set up online insurance-purchasing exchanges and offer government aid to help lower-income people.

The Senate legislation would reduce the deficit by $650 billion in the second decade, according to preliminary estimates from the nonpartisan CBO cited by lawmakers.

While Obama has said he wants to sign health-care legislation into law this year, Reid has cast doubt on that goal after months of setbacks and signs the Republicans want to prolong the debate by using delaying tactics.

‘Closer Than Ever’

“We’re closer than ever to enacting solutions to these problems,” Obama said in a statement released by the White House. “I look forward to working with the Senate and House to get a finished bill to my desk as soon as possible.”

Reid included a so-called public option program to compete with private insurers such as Hartford, Connecticut-based Aetna Inc. even though it’s opposed by all Senate Republicans and some Democrats. He’s gambling he can get support to start debate on a bill that’s likely to be rewritten by the full Senate.

While the House plans an income surtax on the wealthiest Americans, much of the funding for the Senate bill will come from a tax on high-end insurance. That so-called Cadillac tax would be assessed for plans valued at $8,500 for individuals or $23,000 for families, with higher thresholds for high-risk workers and people living in states with costlier premiums.

Reid settled on a Medicare payroll tax increase for some Americans, raising the rate to 1.95 percent from 1.45 percent for couples earning more than $250,000.

He also plans a new commission to help set rates paid by Medicare, the government program for the elderly.

Employer Requirement

Another new twist is Reid’s decision to put a 5 percent tax on elective cosmetic surgery. Still, much of the funding for the bill would come from cuts in future Medicare spending, largely through curbing fraud and abuse, Obama and lawmakers have said.

Reid also took steps to keep the costs down in the CBO estimate in part by delaying many elements of the bill to 2014 from 2013, including establishment of the insurance exchanges and their subsidies for the poor.

Under Reid’s bill, companies with 50 or more workers would face penalties if they don’t provide coverage and have workers who get taxpayer-funded subsidies to buy policies. It also includes a federally run long-term care insurance plan that would let workers pay premiums and then get a cash benefit later for adult day care or assisted-living expenses.

Pre-Existing Conditions

Like the House legislation, Reid’s plan would also bar insurers from denying coverage based on pre-existing conditions, and help seniors pay for prescription drugs.

New York Senator Chuck Schumer, one of the Democratic leaders, told reporters “everything looks good” for an initial vote to start debate. At least three Democrats -- Senators Ben Nelson of Nebraska, Mary Landrieu of Louisiana and Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas -- had refused to pledge their votes for that step until they could review the bill’s text.

The bill “is better in some ways than in other ways,” Nelson said yesterday. “Until I have a chance to go through it, a brief explanation is not enough” for a conclusion, he said.

Reid met with the three senators yesterday and got some help from Vice President Joe Biden, who went to Capitol Hill to lobby other senators. Former Senators Tom Daschle and Ken Salazar, who now serves as Obama’s interior secretary, also met with lawmakers.

To win passage, Reid has to keep all 60 votes controlled by Democrats together. Besides Nelson, Landrieu and Lincoln, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman has been critical of the public option. Lieberman, an independent who caucuses with the Democrats, said he would support the vote to start debate and work with lawmakers to strip out the government program.

Snowe’s Trigger

Maine Senator Olympia Snowe, the only Republican to vote for a health-care plan in the committee phase, said she can’t support a public option. She’s pushing for a trigger to put a government plan in effect only if there is evidence that policies offered by private insurers are unaffordable.

Senator Orrin Hatch, a Utah Republican, said it’s doubtful any Republican will vote for Reid’s plan. He also said Reid should allow enough time for debate.

“We’re talking about one-sixth of the economy,” Hatch said. “This should be a very deliberative process. And it should take more than a month and a half.”

Reid has safeguards to keep federal dollars from funding abortion, though not the restrictions adopted in the House. Abortion rights supporters have threatened to vote against a final bill if it contains the House language and have been working to keep it out of the Senate version.

If the Senate passes legislation, it would work with the House to come up with compromise legislation for a new round of votes in both chambers before a bill would go to Obama.

“We are now down to the week we have been waiting for,” Massachusetts Senator John Kerry told reporters. “This is not just a matter of months in the waiting, this has been decades in the waiting.”

Obama Aims to Allay Auto Lobby Concern on Korea Trade

http://www.bloomberg.com/

President Barack Obama said he is committed to pushing through a free trade agreement with South Korea that has been stalled by the U.S. auto lobby and unions, who argue it doesn’t do enough to open up Korean markets. image

Obama’s joint press conference in Seoul today with South Korean counterpart Lee Myung Bak was a last chance on his four- nation Asia trip to show he opposes protectionism. The accord has been held up in Congress, where lawmakers are demanding wider access for Chrysler Group LLC, Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. Lee said today he is willing to reopen talks on the auto industry.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce estimates that failure to enact the accord means the loss of $35 billion in exports and 345,000 jobs. South Korea signed a rival agreement with the European Union last month that calls for 99 percent of commerce to be duty-free within five years.

“Team Obama talked the talk, now we’ll see if they walk the walk,” said Gary Hufbauer, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington. “Possibly in Seoul the president will achieve another breakthrough” with a commitment to seek ratification of the U.S.-South Korea pact.

U.S. automakers sold 6,980 vehicles in South Korea last year, or 0.72 percent of the passenger car market, according to the Korea Automobile Importers & Distributors Association. Those figures exclude GM’s local Daewoo unit, which captured 7 percent of the market in the first nine months of this year.

Hyundai Motor Co., Korea’s biggest carmaker, accounted for almost half of all sales at home. Through October this year, Hyundai raised its U.S. sales 4.1 percent to 373,222 vehicles.The U.S. market share for Hyundai and its Kia Motors Corp. affiliate was 7.3 percent in October. Hyundai says about a quarter of the cars the group sells in the U.S. are made there.

Trade Imbalances

Obama said he would work to address the issues in the U.S. that were holding up the free trade agreement.

“There is obviously also a concern within the United States around the incredible trade imbalances that have grown over the last several decades,” Obama said. While that imbalance was not so marked with South Korea, “there has been a tendency I think to lump all of Asia together when Congress votes on trade agreements.”

While in Asia, Obama has been called on by regional leaders, including Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak and Chinese President Hu Jintao, to demonstrate the U.S. will work to reduce trade barriers. At the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Singapore, Obama expressed interest in joining and expanding a regional free-trade group that so far includes Chile, New Zealand, Singapore and Brunei.

Forging an agreement that would ensure passage of the Korea trade accord will be “politically tough back in the U.S.,” Hufbauer said.

Tax Hurdle

Democrats, who have majorities in the House and Senate, are holding up a vote on the agreement. Representative Sander Levin, a Michigan Democrat and chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee’s trade panel, said South Korea first must remove tax and regulatory obstacles to sales of U.S. autos, refrigerators and other manufactured goods.

Lee’s comments appear to mark an about-face. Yesterday, Ahn Ho Young, South Korea’s deputy minister for trade, said there would be “no re-negotiation.”

South Korea is the seventh-biggest U.S. trading partner. Last year, two-way trade totaled $82.9 billion, according to the Commerce Department.

China, the second-biggest U.S. trading partner after Canada, has been subjected to a series of trade sanctions by the Obama administration on tires and steel pipe in the months leading up to the president’s Asia trip. China called the pipe tariffs “discriminatory” and said it would start its own anti-dumping probe of American cars.

Keeping Quiet

Obama didn’t mention trade during a joint appearance with Hu Nov. 17 at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People. Hu urged Obama to “oppose and reject protectionism in all its manifestations in an even stronger stand.”

Still, U.S. companies used the president’s visit to help cement business ties in China. Tempe, Arizona-based First Solar Inc. advanced its plan to build the world’s biggest plant directly converting sunlight to electricity in Inner Mongolia, signing an agreement in Beijing Nov. 17 with U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu and Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang in attendance.

China is the third-biggest export market for the U.S., with outbound shipments last year amounting to $71.5 billion, an increase of 9.5 percent from 2007. The U.S. imported $337.8 billion from China last year, more than from any other country, according to the Commerce Department.

North Korea

Obama and Lee reiterated their commitment to bringing North Korea back to multilateral talks on ending its nuclear weapons program. China is host to six-party negotiations that include the two Koreas, Japan, Russia and the U.S. The talks were broken off after North Korea launched a rocket in April in violation of a United Nations resolution.

Obama said he and Lee “both agree on the need to break a pattern that has existed in the past in which North Korea behaves in a provocative fashion; it then is willing to return to talks; it talks for a while, and then it leaves the talks seeking further exceptions and is never actually making progress on the core issues.”